UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny Full Card Betting Guide
The UFC has an unusual fight card on tap at Fight Island in Abu Dhabi with a Fight Night card scheduled to start at 6 a.m. Wednesday for United States West Coast fans (9 a.m. ET). For those that don’t work and want to get up early to watch two people beat each other up in a cage, the card is headlined by welterweights Michael Chiesa and Neil Magny. The 14-fight card also features Warrley Alves and Mounir Lazzez in the co-main event, fan favorite Roxanne “The Happy Warrior” Modafferi fighting Viviane Araujo, and a pair of intriguing under-the-radar fights in Matt Schnell vs. Tyson Nam and Lerone Murphy vs. Douglas Andrade. For all of Matt and Craig’s insight into the fights, check out the full card preview.
Manon Fiorot (-198) — The odds continue to climb in favor of the Frenchwoman, and anyone who got them at the opening -110 line should be grateful. Still, Matt and Craig predicted Joselyne Edwards’ success last week and appear equally high on this debutant against Victoria Leonardo.
Dalcha Lungiambula (-141) — The heavy-handed puncher out of the Democratic Republic of Congo is primed for a victory against the Brazilian Markus Perez. “I don’t know how Perez wins this,” Matt said on the prediction video. And at -141 odds, that should be a good enough certainty to put some cash on it.
Neil Magny (-143) — If Magny can avoid getting put on his back and use his length and cardio to stay on his feet, he should be able to take the victory. He can weaponize his pace and is disciplined enough to avoid Michael Chiesa’s strengths.
Pop and Popcorn Fights
Umar Nurmagomedov (-539) vs. Sergey Morozov (+390) — The curtain-jerker for this Wednesday morning card should be interesting while it lasts, but the odds are too steep for a pair of UFC newcomers. Just enjoy the wrestler vs. striker war.
Warrley Alves (+192) vs. Mounir Lazzez (-239) — There’s just not a value play on this fight. Mounir Lazzez should get the victory, as he’s the far more technical striker and possesses plenty of power. But an inside the distance bet on Lazzez is only +126, and something about this feels like it could go the distance. As Craig said, “Alves is an unknown”.
Jerome Rivera (+126) vs. Francisco Figueiredo (-152) — Heed Craig’s advice and don’t put any “hard-earned money” on this one.
Ike Villanueva (-139) vs. Vinicius Moreira (+114) — “I wouldn’t put a single cent … on this fight.” — Craig Allen.
Underdogs to Consider
Matt Schnell (+105) — Matt and Craig both like Schnell over Tyson Nam, but bettors should wait to see how he looks on the scale before wagering. If the cut to 125 isn’t too rough and he can get by the early power of Nam, Schnell should be able to snag a win.
Omari Akhmedov (+132) — When Tom Breese is on, he can hang with anybody, but he can be a bit off-and-on in his fights. Akhmedov, too, fights to the level of his competition. In this coin-flip type of fight, take the plus odds.
Roxanne Modafferi (+259) — Viviane Araujo has the weapons here to get the victory, but Modafferi is always a scrappy and unorthodox fight that can give fighters like Araujo trouble. As Matt said, “she’s tougher than a $2 steak” and loves to win as an underdog. Matt liked “The Happy Warrior” by decision, so it might be worth it to bet on Modafferi by decision at +400.
Mike Davis by knockout (+232) — Mason Jones is an excellent boxer, but he will have to go toe to toe with Mike Davis’ boxing. With seven of his eight victories by knockout, it feels like Davis might be able to land one.
Ricky Simon by decision (+121) — The Washington state native should easily win this fight by repeated takedowns, but a finish seems fairly unlikely. He has just one finish victory in his UFC tenure, and that came at the third-round bell.
Michael Chiesa by submission (+331) — If you like Chiesa in the main event, or even if you’re betting on Magny outright, it’s probably worth it to place something on Chiesa’s likely method of victory, especially at these odds.
Parlay of the Night
Dalcha Lungiambula (-141), Su Mudaerji (-465), Ricky Simon (-442), Lerone Murphy (-309) — Total: +237
I hate having so many heavy favorites here, but there’s not a lot of great value to find on this card and it’s hard to picture any of these fighters losing. They all have clear paths to victory, where their opponents have slim to none. You could throw Manon Fiorot in there to nearly double the return, but I wouldn’t be so confident in that, and it has the risk of killing your parlay early in what could be a long card.