UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland Full Card Betting Guide
July 30, 2021
While UFC Vegas 33 doesn’t boast the biggest names or great fights, we know all of you bettors are still tuning in. So here’s a comprehensive breakdown as we try to find value on the 11-fight card on Saturday, July 31, at the UFC Apex.
The card starts at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN with the main card beginning at 9 p.m. Check out Matt and Craig’s full analysis as well as Question Mark Kicks, which goes live on YouTube at 4 p.m. ET Saturday.
Ryan Benoit (-132) — “Baby Face” continues to see good odds in his fight with Zarrukh Adashev. The weight cut is always concerning for Benoit and that’s why I’ll keep this off the parlay. However, I still think there’s great value here in the better wrestler with pop in his hands.
Niklas Stolze (-194) — Stolze is the better striker in a fight that should primarily take place on the feet and he’s facing a late-notice replacement in Jared Gooden. The odds should be much steeper.
Kyung Ho Kang (-125) — It is a long layoff for Kang, but he’s such a talented and well-rounded fighter, I find it impossible not to take him in this fight against Rani Yahya.
Pop and Popcorn Fights
Orion Cosce (-163) vs. Philip Rowe (+135) — Between Cosce’s injury history and Rowe’s weight miss, there are far too many question marks entering this fight to find a comfortable place to bet on it.
Gloria de Paula (+141) vs. Cheyanne Buys (-167) — It’s certainly not the highest level of fight we’ve ever seen on a main card, but there’s still some intrigue in catching these two prospects seeking their first UFC victory.
Underdogs to Consider
Danny Chavez (-103) — I love that “The Columbian Warrior” is the underdog against Kai Kamaka III. He should be able to keep range and piece apart Kamaka on his way to the victory.
Collin Anglin (+120) — Having a wrestling advantage in the fight means you can dictate where the fight takes place. Anglin should be able to do that against fellow debutant Melsik Baghasaryan.
Uriah Hall (+172) — These odds are ridiculously good for “Prime Time”, who has faced the pressure of a five-round main event before while Sean Strickland is in his first. Hall’s powerful counter-striking has me leaning toward taking him by knockout as well at +312 odds.
Rafa Garcia inside the distance (+121) — The sizable favorite over Chris Gruetzemacher suffered his first loss to Nasra Haqparast in his UFC debut, but this is a perfect bounceback for “Gifted”. He will move forward and inflict plenty of damage against the hittable Gruetzemacher. Play it safe with an inside the distance bet rather than trying to predict whether it ends in submission or knockout.
Bryan Barbarena by knockout (+143) — Despite injuries that have derailed his career, “Bam Bam” still boasts an insane level of talent. Jason Witt has looked less than impressive in his UFC career and Barbarena’s volume may just be too much in this one.