UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum Full Card Betting Guide
April 16, 2021
The UFC comes back at us from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas for UFC on ESPN 22: Whittaker vs. Gastelum. The 12-fight card, scheduled for Saturday, April 17 will start at 7 p.m. ET with the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET.
For main event pits middleweights Robert Whittaker and Kelvin Gastelum with exciting lightweights Drakkar Klose and Jeremy Stephens serving up a thrilling co-main.
For full preview and predictions, check out Matt and Craig’s analysis! Also, check out Question Mark Kicks live on YouTube two hours before the preliminary card begins.
Alexander Romanov (-143) — It’s hard not to love Alexander Romanov and what he brings to the table. The 30-year-old is 13-0 with four knockouts and nine submissions. He will come charging in and try to ragdoll Juan Espino. The 40-year-old is certainly game in this one, but Romanov looks like the value here at these odds.
Tracy Cortez by decision (-137) — Tracy Cortez should have her way with Justine Kish. She’s the stronger and longer fighter entering the Octagon on Saturday and the much better wrestler. But Cortez also has just two finish wins out of her eight victories. There’s a ton of value here to pick her to win on the judges’ scorecards.
Robert Whittaker by decision (+131) — There’s a very good chance Robert Whittaker stays on the outside, avoids Kelvin Gastelum’s inside power shots and picks apart the younger fighter for five rounds. Good enough of a chance to bet on it at plus odds.
Pop and Popcorn Fights
Jessica Penne (+231) vs. Lupita Godinez (-290) — There’s a lot to like about Godinez in this fight and she should probably pick up the victory. But Jessica Penne hasn’t fought in four years, Godinez is a late-notice replacement and there’s just way too many uncertainties to bite with the odds where they are.
Gerald Meerschaert (+108) vs. Bartosz Fabinski (-132) — I just don’t see where the value is on this fight. It should be a very entertaining fight and there’s areas where each fighter should have some success. The obvious props (over 1.5, GM3 by submission) are heavily juiced at most books. Keep this off your card.
Abdul Razak Alhassan (-300) vs. Jacob Malkoun (+237) — Why is this fight on the main card? Better question: Why would you bet on it?
Underdogs to Consider
Alex Munoz (+125) — Alex Munoz’s wrestling ability is stylistically different than Luis Pena’s striking. This fight is more of a coin flip than the odds suggest.
Drakkar Klose (+102) — This fight against Jeremy Stephens is probably close to a coin flip, and getting plus odds on the flip is just good betting. Drakkar Klose is a technical boxer whose counters will open up opportunities against the pressure of Stephens.
Austin Hubbard by decision (+115) — If you like Austin Hubbard to beat Dakota ‘Hairy’ Bush, this is the bet to take. Five of ‘Thud’ Hubbard’s 12 victories went to the scorecards and both of Bush’s losses were by decision.
Zarah Fairn vs. Josiane Nunes over 2.5 rounds (-149) — Sure, both fighters have some knockouts on their record but it wasn’t against UFC-caliber opponents. The odds of a women’s bantamweight fight going the distance are never this short, and it’s always appealing when they are.
Andrei Arlovski by decision (+169) — There are some massive question marks in Arlovski’s fight with Chase Sherman, but if you like Arlovski in this one (which I do), he’s likely going to get it done on the scorecards.
Parlay of the Night
Tony Gravely (-328), Tracy Cortez (-281), Drakkar Klose vs. Jeremy Stephens O2.5 (-152), Robert Whittaker vs Kelvin Gastelum O3.5 (-158) — +379
Add Ben Askren at +154 odds to make it a +1117 parlay!