UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai Full Card Betting Guide

If I know gamblers like I think I do, I know y’all are itching to bet on some fights after a one-week UFC hiatus. The UFC returns with UFC Vegas 28 featuring heavyweights Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Augusto Sakai. The 14-fight card is loaded with intriguing fights and appealing odds, so let’s get into it!

Check out Matt and Craig’s full predictions and analysis for more information to help you handicap the fights!

Best Bets

Tom Breese (-253) — Very rarely do I have this big of favorites in this Best Bets section but I am all in on Tom Breese this weekend. Antonio Arroyo is … Let’s just put it this way: He lost to Deron Winn with a 10-inch height advantage. Put it in your parlays; sprinkle some on the Breese submission prop (+605).

Roman Dolidze (-146) — Roman Dolidze will be the much bigger fighter when he steps in the cage with Laureano Staropoli and he’ll have the wrestling advantage. Those are usually good indicators for a victory.

Walt Harris/Marcin Tybura U2.5 rounds (-129) — Walt Harris could score a knockout in the first round or Marcin Tybura can survive and dominate the fight. Now wait, doesn’t that mean you like Tybura by decision? Not so quick, young grasshopper, Harris has not lost a fight by decision since 2016. Similar to Tybura’s win over Greg Hardy, Harris will gas eventually and Tybura will give him a merciful end.

Pop and Popcorn Fights

Francisco Trinaldo (+199) vs. Muslim Salikhov (-246) — This potential fight of the night is one where it’s best to just stay away from and enjoy.

Tanner Boser (-194) vs. Ilir Latifi (+160) — I was thinking about betting on Latifi but then I saw Boser giving interviews with no front teeth. Never bet against the guy missing his front teeth.

Santiago Ponzinibbio (-101) vs. Miguel Baeza (-122) — A fight that’s sure to produce fireworks with both fighters having clear paths to victory. Leave this one off your cards and make sure to not leave your seat once the fighters are introduced.

Underdogs to Consider

Claudio Puelles (+169) — Puelles is much more of a coin-flip against Jordan Leavitt than these odds suggest. He has a good chance of outstriking Leavitt and he’s more than competent on the ground to deal with the undefeated fighter’s wrestling.

Youssef Zalal (+151) — The Moroccan Devil says he has newfound focus entering this fight and has trained against middleweights and light heavyweights in preparation for the rangy striking of Sean Woodson. If Zalal can use his wrestling to give “The Sniper” different looks, he has a strong path to victory.

Kamuela Kirk (+168) — Go look at Makwan Amirkhani’s Tapology page. Now tell me you want to put money on the guy that has that photo as his picture on the site. Now start wishing you got Kirk at +225 opening odds.

Intriguing Props

Manon Fiorot wins inside the distance (-130) — She has the nickname “The Beast” for a reason. Manon Fiorot is a straight-up killer with five of her six wins coming by knockout. She’s facing Tabitha Ricci, who replaces Maryna Moroz on short notice, and enters as a heavy favorite. There’s great value on Fiorot doing what she does best and putting an early end to this one.

Dusko Todorovic/Gregory Rodriguez U1.5 rounds (+101) — It feels like someone is going to the lockers (or hospital) early in this one but it’s hard to say which fighter. Take the safe play and bet the under.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik by knockout (+144) — Getting plus odds on this prop for a fighter with 10 of his 11 wins coming by knockout seems too good to be true. Augusto Sakai has never been in a main event and I think he’ll be a little hesitant to throw early. If Rozenstruik can get in a rhythm early, his power should give him a finish within 25 minutes.

Parlay of the Night

Mason Jones (-304), De La Rosa/Lipski O2.5 (-249), Tom Breese (-253), Harris/Tybura U2.5 (-129) — +361

And regularly, I’ll give you an odds booster for the less risk-averse: Adding Roman Dolidze (-146) raises the odds to +677.