UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus Full Card Betting Guide
The UFC makes another trek outside Las Vegas for a Fight Night card, this Columbus, Ohio card headlined by heavyweights Curtis Blaydes and Chris Daukaus.
The 13-fight card is scheduled to start at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 26, on ESPN+.
Make sure to check out Question Mark Kicks two hours before the prelims begin for Matt and Craig’s final thoughts on the fight card.
Fight Previews
Featherweight
Luis Saldana (-105)
Record: 15-7 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 8 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-236); Wins ITD (+317), by decision (+199), by TKO (+411), by submission (+1011)
Bruno Souza (-115)
Record: 10-2 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+178); Wins ITD (+418), by decision (+162), by TKO (+694), by submission (+994)
Best Value: Saldana ITD (+317)
The slightest of dogs is the more dangerous and well-rounded fighter. Cardio won’t be an issue if he gets an early finish.
Flyweight
Matheus Nicolau (+106)
Record: 17-2-1 (5-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-234); Wins ITD (+342), by decision (+238), by TKO (+650), by submission (+546)
David Dvorak (-128)
Record: 20-3 (3-0 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 8 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+176); Wins ITD (+373), by decision (+148), by TKO (+779), by submission (+779)
Best Value: David Dvorak (-128)
Potentially the best value on this card, Dvorak’s pressure is hard to match.
Women’s Flyweight
Jennifer Maia (+348)
Record: 19-8-1 (4-4 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-258); Wins ITD (+944), by decision (-119), by TKO (+212), by submission (+1339)
Manon Fiorot (-466)
Record: 8-1 (3-0 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+195); Wins ITD (+188), by decision (-119), by TKO (+212), by submission (+1578)
Best Value: Fiorot TKO (+212)
There’s way too much juice here for the prospect. Maia is a game opponent. That being said, if you really like Fiorot, look toward the props.
Middleweight
Aliaskhab Khizriev (-838)
Record: 13-0 (UFC debut)
Wins: 5 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: n/a
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (+153); Wins ITD (-304), by decision (+492), by TKO (+276), by submission (-123)
Denis Tiuliulin (+560)
Record: 10-5 (UFC debut)
Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (-195); Wins ITD (+600), by decision (+1829), by TKO (+570), by submission (+2417)
Best Value: Khizriev ITD (-304)
The odds here are ridiculous for a pair of UFC debutants.
Bantamweight
Chris Gutierrez (+115)
Record: 17-3-2 (5-1-1 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-137); Wins ITD (+441), by decision (+213), by TKO (+556), by submission (+1267)
Batgerel Danaa (-140)
Record: 12-2 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+108); Wins ITD (+146), by decision (+343), by TKO (+172), by submission (+1294)
Best Value: Batgerel TKO (+172)
This should be a very fun fight while it lasts. Gutierrez leaves himself open on leg kicks, and Batgerel is an adept finisher.
Bantamweight
Sara McMann (+177)
Record: 12-6 (6-6 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 4 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-199); Wins ITD (+481), by decision (+346), by TKO (+1250), by submission (+700)
Karol Rosa (-218)
Record: 15-3 (4-0 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+153); Wins ITD (+223), by decision (+132), by TKO (+441), by submission (+442)
Best Value: Karol Rosa (-218)
The odds aren’t terrible here straight up on the favorite. She’s the far more dangerous fighter at this point in her career.
Welterweight
Neil Magny (-250)
Record: 25-8 (18-7 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 4 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-244); Wins ITD (+318), by decision (-117), by TKO (+507), by submission (+786)
Max Griffin (+203)
Record: 18-8 (6-6 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+182); Wins ITD (+455), by decision (+432), by TKO (+543), by submission (+1400)
Best Value: Magny decision (-117)
The majority of Magny’s victories come on the scorecards, and he should be able to keep Griffin at bay with his range in this bout.
Lightweight
Marc Diakiese (+131)
Record: 14-5 (5-5 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+127); Wins ITD (+302), by decision (+346), by TKO (+363), by submission (+1342)
Viacheslav Borshchev (-158)
Record: 6-1 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-161); Wins ITD (+114), by decision (+397), by TKO (+124), by submission (+1863)
Best Value: Marc Diakiese (+131)
While Diakiese is inconsistent at times, if he can use his wrestling to avoid the power of Borshchev there’s a clear path to victory.
Heavyweight
Ilir Latifi (-203)
Record: 15-8 (8-6 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 4 KO
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-169); Wins ITD (+156), by decision (+213), by TKO (+174), by submission (+1046)
Aleksei Oleinik (+168)
Record: 59-16-1 (8-7 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 46 SUB | Losses: 9 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+132); Wins ITD (+240), by decision (+710), by TKO (+1013), by submission (+309)
Best Value: Oleinik submission (+309)
This is always my favorite prop in any Oleinik fight. The man has 46 submissions to his name. Even at 44 years old, I’m throwing a couple bucks at it.
Flyweight
Kai Kara-France (+295)
Record: 23-9 (6-2 UFC)
Wins: 11 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 3 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-230); Wins ITD (+607), by decision (+567), by TKO (+686), by submission (+2300)
Askar Askarov (-386)
Record: 14-0-1 (3-0-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: n/a
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+173); Wins ITD (+223), by decision (-121), by TKO (+707), by submission (+335)
Best Value: Under 2.5 rounds (+173)
Either of these fighters can keep this one away from the judges, and getting plus odds on that feels right.
Welterweight
Matt Brown (-108)
Record: 23-18 (16-12 UFC)
Wins: 15 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 10 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-156); Wins ITD (+148), by decision (+523), by TKO (+168), by submission (+1092)
Bryan Barberena (-113)
Record: 16-8 (7-6 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+121); Wins ITD (+238), by decision (+264), by TKO (+313), by submission (+935)
Best Value: Barberena TKO (+313)
Matt Brown is a little chinny at this point in his career, so Barberena should have a chance to score a knockout.
Women’s Flyweight
Joanne Wood (+195)
Record: 15-7 (7-7 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 4 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-357); Wins ITD (+525), by decision (+347), by TKO (+950), by submission (+1028)
Alexa Grasso (-242)
Record: 13-3 (5-3 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+260); Wins ITD (+441), by decision (-136), by TKO (+668), by submission (+913)
Best Value: Joanne Wood (+195)
I’m not as sold on Grasso as some others, so the underdog doesn’t look too bad to me here.
Heavyweight
Curtis Blaydes (-413)
Record: 15-3 (10-3 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-101); Wins ITD (-132), by decision (+250), by TKO (-108), by submission (+839)
Chris Daukaus (+315)
Record: 12-4 (4-1 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-128); Wins ITD (+383), by decision (+1360), by TKO (+448), by submission (+1367)
Best Value: Over 2.5 rounds (-101)
If Daukaus even has a little something to offer in his jiu-jitsu game, he should be able to take this to the championship rounds.
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