Preview

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Full Card Betting Guide

We get to watch Israel Adesanya and Max Holloway fight on the same night. Fight cards don’t get much better than that. UFC 276, slated for Saturday, July 2, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, is loaded with talent.

Headlined by Israel Adesanya’s middleweight title defense against Jared Cannonier and Alexander Volkanovski’s trilogy fight with Max Holloway for the featherweight strap, the 12-fight card will start at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Make sure to check out Question Mark Kicks two hours before the prelims begin for Matt and Craig’s final thoughts on the fight card. Also join, Matt and Craig for the Fight Night Picks Sidekick live alongside the main card.

Fight Previews

Women’s Bantamweight

Jessica Rose-Clark (-156)

Record: 11-7 (4-3 UFC)

Wins: 3 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-246); Wins ITD (+399), by decision (+114), by TKO (+563), by submission (+1089)

Julija Stoliarenko (+129)

Record: 9-6-1 (0-4 UFC)

Wins: 8 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+186); Wins ITD (+338), by decision (+307), by TKO (+1213), by submission (+406)

Best Value: Stoliarenko submission (+406)
Sure, throw some dough at a fighter that is 0-4 in the promotion. Why not?

Women’s Flyweight

Jessica Eye (+232)

Record: 15-10 (5-9 UFC)

Wins: 3 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-308); Wins ITD (+631), by decision (+349), by TKO (+1066), by submission (+1422)

Maycee Barber (-290)

Record: 10-2 (5-2 UFC)

Wins: 5 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC

Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+234); Wins ITD (+321), by decision (-125), by TKO (+394), by submission (+1122)

Best Value: Barber TKO (+394)
Bet on this fight at your own peril, but if you do have the cajones to do so, at least bet on something fun.

Middleweight

Uriah Hall (+262)

Record: 17-10 (10-8 UFC)

Wins: 12 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 4 KO

Props: Over 1.5 rounds (+120); Wins ITD (+358), by decision (+855), by TKO (+376), by submission (+2878)

Andre Muniz (-337)

Record: 22-4 (4-0 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO, 15 SUB | Losses: 4 KO

Props: Under 1.5 rounds (-154); Wins ITD (-182), by decision (+531), by TKO (+436), by submission (-116)

Best Value: Muniz submission (-116)
This dude is a wizard on the canvas. Hall’s takedown defense doesn’t exactly inspire confidence in his ability to keep this standing.

Middleweight

Brad Tavares (+125)

Record: 19-6 (14-6 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 3 KO

Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-120); Wins ITD (+475), by decision (+207), by TKO (+563), by submission (+2222)

Dricus Du Plessis (-153)

Record: 16-2 (2-0 UFC)

Wins: 7 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-108); Wins ITD (+135), by decision (+367), by TKO (+181), by submission (+683)

Best Value: Dricus du Plessis (-153)
Du Plessis has certainly looked the part of a UFC fighter in his first two fights and this will be a good measuring stick.

Welterweight

Ian Garry (-177)

Record: 9-0 (2-0 UFC)

Wins: 5 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: n/a

Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-136); Wins ITD (+187), by decision (+196), by TKO (+266), by submission (+785)

Gabe Green (+146)

Record: 11-3 (2-1 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 2 KO

Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+107); Wins ITD (+368), by decision (+329), by TKO (+266), by submission (+921)

Best Value: Garry TKO (+266)
If Green turns this into a brawl, as he sometimes does, Garry has the technical ability to put him down.

Welterweight

Jim Miller (-194)

Record: 34-16 (23-15 UFC)

Wins: 6 KO, 18 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 3 SUB

Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-151); Wins ITD (+116), by decision (+300), by TKO (+298), by submission (+270)

Donald Cerrone (+160)

Record: 36-16 (23-13 UFC)

Wins: 10 KO, 17 SUB | Losses: 8 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+117); Wins ITD (+308), by decision (+498), by TKO (+438), by submission (+900)

Best Value: Jim Miller (-194)
Miller has a real shot to go on a three-fight UFC win streak in the year 2022. The man started in the UFC 14 years ago. That’s wild.

Lightweight

Brad Riddell (+123)

Record: 10-2 (4-1 UFC)

Wins: 5 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-147); Wins ITD (+267), by decision (+343), by TKO (+289), by submission (+1922)

Jalin Turner (-150)

Record: 12-5 (5-2 UFC)

Wins: 9 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 3 KO

Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+115); Wins ITD (+124), by decision (+405), by TKO (+200), by submission (+583)

Best Value: Over 1.5 rounds (-147)
Riddell’s fights often go the distance and he’s certainly talented enough to pose Turner some questions here. There’s a small value bet to be had.

Bantamweight

Pedro Munhoz (+241)

Record: 19-7 (9-7 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 7 DEC

Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-121); Wins ITD (+463), by decision (+553), by TKO (+719), by submission (+983)

Sean O’Malley (-302)

Record: 15-1 (7-1 UFC)

Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-107); Wins ITD (+130), by decision (+166), by TKO (+147), by submission (+1544)

Best Value: O’Malley TKO (+147)
It’s always tough to pull the trigger on something that’s never happened before, and Munhoz has never been finished. O’Malley’s speedy hands will give a slower Munhoz tons of trouble, though.

Welterweight

Robbie Lawler (-122)

Record: 29-15 (14-9 UFC)

Wins: 21 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 6 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-185); Wins ITD (+317), by decision (+166), by TKO (+343), by submission (+2711)

Bryan Barberena (-101)

Record: 17-8 (8-6 UFC)

Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+146); Wins ITD (+310), by decision (+240), by TKO (+379), by submission (+1522)

Best Value: Bryan Barberena (-101)
There’s probably only value here if Barberena slips into plus territory. It’s a coin flip fight between two fighters whose best days are behind them.

Middleweight

Sean Strickland (-117)

Record: 25-3 (12-3 UFC)

Wins: 10 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-177); Wins ITD (+268), by decision (+251), by TKO (+361), by submission (+850)

Alex Pereira (-104)

Record: 5-1 (2-0 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO | Losses: 1 SUB

Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+140); Wins ITD (+143), by decision (+461), by TKO (+146), by submission (+2667)

Best Value: Pereira TKO (+146)
Pereira is the real deal, and he has a chance to showcase it in a big way against a fighter who will get in positions Pereira excels in.

Featherweight Championship

Alexander Volkanovski (-206)

Record: 24-1 (11-0 UFC)

Wins: 12 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-254); Wins ITD (+294), by decision (+112), by TKO (+345), by submission (+1347)

Max Holloway (+169)

Record: 23-6 (19-6 UFC)

Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB

Props: Under 4.5 rounds (+193); Wins ITD (+499), by decision (+289), by TKO (+588), by submission (+2028)

Best Value: Holloway decision (+289)
The first two fights were close. Volkanovski should be a favorite, but I think the odds are disrespecting Holloway a bit here. The Over 4.5 (-254) should anchor all parlays.

Middleweight Championship

Israel Adesanya (-475)

Record: 22-1 (11-1 UFC)

Wins: 15 KO | Losses: 1 DEC

Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-118); Wins ITD (+142), by decision (+118), by TKO (+155), by submission (+1356)

Jared Cannonier (+355)

Record: 15-5 (8-5 UFC)

Wins: 9 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 KO

Props: Under 4.5 rounds (-110); Wins ITD (+512), by decision (+850), by TKO (+566), by submission (+2148)

Best Value: Adesanya TKO (+155)
I hear a lot of people saying the book is out on Adesanya, but unless you’re a physically imposing light heavyweight, Adesanya is not easy to keep down. His kickboxing is unrivaled in the division, and a finish is certainly possible here.

Results

UFC Austin

Josh: 5-2 (0-1 parlay), +0.75u

Matt: 9-3, +1.63u

Craig: 7-5, -2.77u

2022 Results

Josh: 61-77 (7-14 parlay), -2.26u

Matt: 167-90, +2.26u

Craig: 163-94, -1.94u

Editor’s Note: Matt and Craig make picks for every fight, regardless of betting lines. This exercise assumes a 1u bet on each fight.

My Card

Best Bets (2u each)

Dricus Du Plessis (-153)

Underdogs (1u each)

Alex Pereira (-104)

Props (1u each)

Adesanya TKO (+155)

Garry TKO (+266)

Parlay (+118)

Israel Adesanya (-475), Holloway-Volkanovski O4.5 (-254), Andre Muniz (-337)

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