UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa Full Card Betting Guide
The 12-fight card featuring seven debuting fighters is scheduled to start at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Fight Previews
Women’s Featherweight
Ailin Perez (+206)
Record: 7-1 (UFC debut)
Wins: 4 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 DQ
Props: Over 2.5 (-101); Wins ITD (+442), by decision (+436), by TKO (+800), by submission (+1275)
Stephanie Egger (-260)
Record: 7-3 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (-129); Wins ITD (+110), by decision (+210), by TKO (+406), by submission (+225)
Best Value: Egger ITD (+110)
This stays far off my card, but Egger is a heavy favorite for a reason.
Bantamweight
Khalid Taha (-123)
Record: 13-4 (1-3 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-188); Wins ITD (+236), by decision (+200), by TKO (+386), by submission (+988)
Christian Quinonez (+100)
Record: 16-3 (UFC debut)
Wins: 8 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (+145); Wins ITD (+389), by decision (+206), by TKO (+556), by submission (+1113)
Best Value: Christian Quinonez (+100)
I like Quinonez at plus odds, but I doubt it stays that way for much longer. Odds have trended toward the debutant’s way, so this should be a fun pop-and-popcorn bout.
Lightweight
Benoit Saint-Denis (-283)
Record: 9-1 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 8 SUB | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 1.5 (-123); Wins ITD (-133), by decision (+301), by TKO (+254), by submission (+238)
Gabriel Miranda (+224)
Record: 16-5 (UFC debut)
Wins: 1 KO, 15 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 1.5 (-106); Wins ITD (+356), by decision (+778), by TKO (+1450), by submission (+431)
Best Value: Saint-Denis submission (+238)
Miranda is awfully slippery but Saint-Denis is not a guy you want to mess around with on the mat.
Middleweight
Nassourdine Imavov (-265)
Record: 11-3 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 (-184); Wins ITD (+111), by decision (+221), by TKO (+204), by submission (+501)
Joaquin Buckley (+209)
Record: 15-4 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 11 KO | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Under 1.5 (+141); Wins ITD (+356), by decision (+633), by TKO (+389), by submission (+2900)
Best Value: Under 2.5 rounds (-151)
This fight should be entertaining for as long as it lasts.
Lightweight
Fares Ziam (+166)
Record: 12-4 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 3 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-305); Wins ITD (+544), by decision (+262), by TKO (+831), by submission (+1750)
Michal Figlak (-201)
Record: 8-0 (UFC debut)
Wins: 4 KO | Losses: n/a
Props: Under 2.5 (+225); Wins ITD (+339), by decision (-101), by TKO (+636), by submission (+871)
Best Value: Michal Figlak (-201)
Despite the odds continuing to balloon, this is still one of my favorite bets on the card. Figlak is a very intriguing newcomer.
Middleweight
Dustin Stoltzfus (+218)
Record: 14-4 (1-3 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-115); Wins ITD (+466), by decision (+462), by TKO (+1188), by submission (+694)
Abusupiyan Magomedov (-273)
Record: 24-4-1 (UFC debut)
Wins: 13 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (-114); Wins ITD (+120), by decision (+204), by TKO (+233), by submission (+448)
Best Value: Dustin Stoltzfus (+218)
This stays off my card, but there’s probably some value here in a fighter going against a debutant who hasn’t fought in almost two years.
Featherweight
Charles Jourdain (-150)
Record: 13-5-1 (4-4-1 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-158); Wins ITD (+179), by decision (+241), by TKO (+251), by submission (+888)
Nathaniel Wood (+123)
Record: 18-5 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (+122); Wins ITD (+394), by decision (+246), by TKO (+838), by submission (+738)
Best Value: Wood decision (+246)
Probably my favorite fight on the card, this is as pop and popcorn as it gets.
Featherweight
William Gomis (-219)
Record: 10-2 (UFC debut)
Wins: 6 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (+100); Wins ITD (+131), by decision (+232), by TKO (+182), by submission (+750)
Jarno Errens (+176)
Record: 13-3-1 (UFC debut)
Wins: 3 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (-131); Wins ITD (+346), by decision (+464), by TKO (+600), by submission (+788)
Best Value: Jarno Errens (+176)
The odds shouldn’t be this far apart on two debuting fighters. Errens is game here.
Lightweight
John Makdessi (+185)
Record: 18-7 (11-7 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-224); Wins ITD (+563), by decision (+314), by TKO (+619), by submission (+3288)
Nasrat Haqparast (-231)
Record: 13-5 (5-4 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (+170); Wins ITD (+236), by decision (+115), by TKO (+268), by submission (+2325)
Best Value: Haqparast decision (+115)
This should primarily be a boxing match, and Haqparast is better in that regard.
Middleweight
Alessio Di Chirico (-112)
Record: 13-6 (4-6 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-179); Wins ITD (+255), by decision (+221), by TKO (+442), by submission (+769)
Roman Kopylov (-110)
Record: 8-2 (0-2 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (+138); Wins ITD (+365), by decision (+201), by TKO (+401), by submission (+2425)
Best Value: Kopylov ITD (+365)
The heavy-handed Kopylov is looking to get his maiden win in the UFC, and this might be a great fight to do it.
Middleweight
Robert Whittaker (-231)
Record: 23-6 (14-4 UFC)
Wins: 11 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-292); Wins ITD (+363), by decision (-121), by TKO (+442), by submission (+2025)
Marvin Vettori (+185)
Record: 18-4-1 (8-3-1 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 4 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 (+218); Wins ITD (+506), by decision (+339), by TKO (+1156), by submission (+969)
Best Value: Vettori decision (+339)
Both these fighters only losses in the last five years have come against one of the greatest middleweights ever. Vettori is more competitive than these odds suggest. I love the value.
Heavyweight
Ciryl Gane (-571)
Record: 10-1 (7-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 (-129); Wins ITD (-157), by decision (+228), by TKO (+113), by submission (+438)
Tai Tuivasa (+413)
Record: 15-3 (8-3 UFC)
Wins: 14 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (-101); Wins ITD (+563), by decision (+1411), by TKO (+609), by submission (+2963)
Best Value: Tuivasa TKO (+609)
Who knows how Gane responds to his first defeat? He should win this fight still, but Tuivasa’s powerful hands always give him a chance.
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