UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar Full Card Betting Guide

The UFC makes its 2021 debut at Fight Island in Abu Dhabi with a Fight Night card headlined by featherweights Max Holloway and Calvin Kattar. Currently an 11-fight card, it is scheduled to begin at noon Eastern Standard time, Saturday, Jan. 16. For all of Matt and Craig’s insight into the fights, check out the full card preview.

Best Bets

Max Holloway (-164) — The former Featherweight champion is 5-0 in Featherweight main events and “should be a bigger favorite” according to Matt. He’s beaten far better fighters than Calvin Kattar and should be able to stay on the outside with his superior footwork and movement.

Dusko Todorovic (-159) — In a matchup of undefeateds, Todorovic is quicker and more well-rounded than Punahele Soriano. The Southpaw Soriano has a wrestling background and some power but also has cardio issues.

Carlos Condit (-162) — In a battle of UFC veterans, Condit should get the victory, with Matt even predicting a win by TKO. Condit struggles with grapplers, of which Matt Brown is not.

Pop and Popcorn Fights

Carlos Felipe (-199) vs. Justin Tafa (+166) — The odds continue to shift in favor of Felipe as the week goes on. Now as a 2/1 favorite, it’s best to just sit back and enjoy the fireworks these two heavyweights can produce.

Santiago Ponzinibbio (-319) vs. Jiangliang Li (+251) — Ponzinibbio’s lengthy absence from the Octagon make this a hard fight to bet on. So instead, just enjoy the Argentinian’s return without sweating whether he’ll shake off the ring rust or not.

Stay Away

Sarah Moras (-211) vs. Vanessa Melo (+173) — Matt and Craig were straight up about it: Do NOT bet on this fight. Both fighters are .500 fighters and somehow Moras is a 2/1 favorite. Save your money.

Wu Yanan (-110) vs. Joselyne Edwards (-112) — Matt and Craig both picked Edwards to win, which was a lot more enticing at +150 odds earlier in the week. At basically even odds, heed Craig’s advice and “Keep this off your card.”

Underdogs to Consider

Nassourdine Imavov (+100) — The odds were a lot better on Imavov to beat opponent Phil Hawes earlier in the week, when they were +135, but still not bad to take a chance on Craig’s pick of Imavov in this fight. Imavov is a solid striker with good footwork who should have a greater chance at victory as the fight progresses.

Intriguing Props

David Zawada by sub (+607) — Likely Zawada’s only path to victory, he has a chance to catch a submission against the heavy favorite Ramazan Emeev. The odds are too juicy not to take a chance and roll the dice.

Phil Hawes by TKO (+136) — If you like Hawes over Nassourdine Imavov, you might take a chance at the better odds on a knockout victory. He’s the more powerful puncher, with seven of his nine victories by knockout including a first-round knockout of Jacob Malkoun in his last time out.

Joaquin Buckley by TKO (+100) — Nine of Buckley’s 12 victories have come via stoppage. If you like Buckley over Alessio Di Chirico, it’s probably not a bad idea to throw some cash on the KO prop.

Carlos Felipe vs. Justin Tafa U1.5 rounds (+151) — If you MUST bet on this fight, this is the best way to do so. The two have combined for 10 knockouts in their 15 career fights. Felipe has gone to decision in his last two fights, whereas all five of Tafa’s fights have ended in knockouts.

Parlay of the Night

Carlos Condit (-172), Dusko Todorovic (-161), Austin Lingo (-235), Max Holloway (-164) — Total: +488