UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Full Card Betting Guide
The UFC grind continues on Saturday, May 21, with an 11-fight card dubbed UFC Vegas 55 at the UFC Apex. Headlining the 4 p.m. ET card is women’s bantamweights Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira. Santiago Ponzinibbio and Michel Pereira are sure to excite in the welterweight co-main event.
Make sure to check out Question Mark Kicks two hours before the prelims begin for Matt and Craig’s final thoughts on the fight card.
Fight Previews
Women’s Strawweight
Elise Reed (-170)
Record: 5-1 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-349); Wins ITD (+391), by decision (+104), by TKO (+700), by submission (+1200)
Sam Hughes (+142)
Record: 6-4 (1-3 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+265); Wins ITD (+547), by decision (+239), by TKO (+1400), by submission (+900)
Best Value: Elise Reed (-170)
These odds are still too short for Reed. Hughes is barely hanging on to a UFC spot.
Featherweight
Chase Hooper (+150)
Record: 10-2-1 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-165); Wins ITD (+338), by decision (+360), by TKO (+1000), by submission (+500)
Felipe Colares (-181)
Record: 10-3 (2-3 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 3 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+130); Wins ITD (+229), by decision (+173), by TKO (+600), by submission (+350)
Best Value: Hooper submission (+500)
If you can get these odds, I suggest taking a bite at it. There’s a lot of flaws in Hooper’s game, but as the bigger, longer fighter in this one, I could easily see him catching a funky submission.
Bantamweight
Jonathan Martinez (-227)
Record: 15-4 (6-3 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-230); Wins ITD (+332), by decision (+104), by TKO (+388), by submission (+1000)
Vince Morales (+183)
Record: 11-5 (3-3 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+180); Wins ITD (+423), by decision (+354), by TKO (+525), by submission (+1500)
Best Value: Martinez ITD (+332)
This is pop and popcorn all the way, but Martinez’s power is always appealing if you’re a bold bettor.
Lightweight
Omar Morales (-152)
Record: 11-2 (3-2 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+133); Wins ITD (+151), by decision (+310), by TKO (+200), by submission (+550)
Uros Medic (+126)
Record: 7-1 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-163); Wins ITD (+227), by decision (+473), by TKO (+263), by submission (+1300)
Best Value: Uros Medic (+126)
The bigger and more athletic fighter should give Morales fits at times.
Heavyweight
Jailton Almeida (-633)
Record: 15-2 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (+114); Wins ITD (-200), by decision (+303), by TKO (+288), by submission (-118)
Parker Porter (+442)
Record: 13-6 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (-141); Wins ITD (+618), by decision (+1254), by TKO (+1000), by submission (+2300)
Best Value: Parker Porter (+442)
The size and plodding style of Porter could be effective against a light heavyweight.
Middleweight
Joseph Holmes (-196)
Record: 7-2 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-136); Wins ITD (+108), by decision (+338), by TKO (+350), by submission (+215)
Alen Amedovski (+161)
Record: 8-2 (0-2 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+108); Wins ITD (+589), by decision (+589), by TKO (+288), by submission (+1600)
Best Value: Holmes ITD (+108)
This fight is tough to predict, but I have a hard time picking an 0-2 UFC fighter who hasn’t fought since 2019.
Middleweight
Eryk Anders (+169)
Record: 14-6 (6-6 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-207); Wins ITD (+441), by decision (+351), by TKO (+450), by submission (+1900)
Jun Yong Park (-210)
Record: 13-5 (3-2 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+160); Wins ITD (+259), by decision (+119), by TKO (+390), by submission (+780)
Best Value: Jun Yong Park (-210)
This is still great value for a very technical boxer that should outmatch Anders in a lot of areas in the cage.
Women’s Strawweight
Polyana Viana (+108)
Record: 12-4 (3-3 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 8 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-172); Wins ITD (+262), by decision (+275), by TKO (+833), by submission (+350)
Tabatha Ricci (-131)
Record: 6-1 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+134); Wins ITD (+334), by decision (+175), by TKO (+733), by submission (+483)
Best Value: Over 2.5 rounds (-172)
Viana is a finisher, but Ricci is going to hold her own in this fight. I see it going to the scorecards.
Middleweight
Chidi Njokuani (-231)
Record: 21-7 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 13 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 3 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+155); Wins ITD (+102), by decision (+304), by TKO (+111), by submission (+1100)
Dusko Todorovic (+187)
Record: 11-2 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-185); Wins ITD (+400), by decision (+435)
Best Value: Njokuani TKO (+111)
Bang Bang! ‘Nuff said.
Welterweight
Santiago Ponzinibbio (+102)
Record: 28-5 (10-4 UFC)
Wins: 14 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-182); Wins ITD (+317), by decision (+231), by TKO (+361), by submission (+1500)
Michel Pereira (-125)
Record: 27-11 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+142); Wins ITD (+288), by decision (+187), by TKO (+348), by submission (+1040)
Best Value: Santiago Ponzinibbio (+102)
Pereira may have the better highlight reel, but Ponzibbio is the more technical boxer with a higher output. That can usually win you a fight.
Bantamweight
Holly Holm (-246)
Record: 14-5 (7-5 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-260); Wins ITD (+328), by decision (-115), by TKO (+372), by submission (+2143)
Ketlen Vieira (+198)
Record: 12-2 (6-2 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 4.5 rounds (+198); Wins ITD (+522), by decision (+361), by TKO (+1233), by submission (+785)
Best Value: Holm decision (-115)
If the kickboxer keeps this on the feet, she can point her way to a win.
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