UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song Full Card Betting Guide
After a chaotic UFC 279, the promotion returns to the UFC Apex for UFC Vegas 60, headlined by a bantamweight exchange between Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong.
The 14-fight card is scheduled to start at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sept. 17, on ESPN+.
Make sure to check out Question Mark Kicks two hours before the prelims begin for Matt and Craig’s final thoughts on the fight card. Also join the duo for the Fight Night Picks Sidekick, as Matt and Craig breakdown the fights live alongside the main card.
Fight Previews
Lightweight
Nikolas Motta (-197)
Record: 12-4 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 3 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (+125); Wins ITD (+110), by decision (+302), by TKO (+124), by submission (+1300)
Cameron VanCamp (+162)
Record: 15-6-1 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (-164); Wins ITD (+273), by decision (+600), by TKO (+788), by submission (+375)
Best Value: Nikolas Motta (-197)
If you can get him below -200, I think it’s good value on “Iron” Motta.
Bantamweight
Tony Gravely (+137)
Record: 23-7 (4-2 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 5 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-106); Wins ITD (+363), by decision (+315), by TKO (+460), by submission (+1429)
Javid Basharat (-167)
Record: 12-0 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: n/a
Props: Under 2.5 (-125); Wins ITD (+137), by decision (+271), by TKO (+344), by submission (+326)
Best Value: Tony Gravely (+137)
The veteran savvy could pay off against the exciting prospect. If you like Basharat, by TKO (+344) is of slight interest.
Women’s Flyweight
Mariya Agapova (+123)
Record: 10-3 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (+117); Wins ITD (+290), by decision (+321), by TKO (+426), by submission (+914)
Gillian Robertson (-150)
Record: 10-7 (7-5 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (-153); Wins ITD (+123), by decision (+386), by TKO (+807), by submission (+170)
Best Value: Robertson submission (+170)
I wish this was +250 or more, but it should give the bolder bettors some interesting moments throughout the fight.
Lightweight
Trey Ogden (+253)
Record: 15-5 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 11 SUB | Losses: 3 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-107); Wins ITD (+456), by decision (+531), by TKO (+1314), by submission (+657)
Daniel Zellhuber (-325)
Record: 12-0 (UFC debut)
Wins: 7 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: n/a
Props: Under 2.5 (-124); Wins ITD (+118), by decision (+190), by TKO (+144), by submission (+843)
Best Value: Ogden submission (+657)
This is pop and popcorn all the way, but if something has to fill that space above, it might as well be attention-grabbing.
Women’s Strawweight
Loma Lookboonmee (-218)
Record: 6-3 (3-2 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-287); Wins ITD (+355), by decision (-117), by TKO (+421), by submission (+1657)
Denise Gomes (+177)
Record: 6-1 (UFC debut)
Wins: 4 KO | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 (+213); Wins ITD (+525), by decision (+304), by TKO (+707), by submission (+2000)
Best Value: Lookboonmee decision (-117)
Honestly, Lookboonmee straight up and the over are both parlay fodder. I know many books don’t allow you to parlay props, or parlay same-fight bets, so just see what your book has and get action on the Thai fighter.
Women’s Bantamweight
Aspen Ladd (-142)
Record: 9-3 (4-3 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 2.5 (-194); Wins ITD (+241), by decision (+201), by TKO (+314), by submission (+1014)
Sara McMann (+117)
Record: 13-6 (7-6 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 4 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (+149); Wins ITD (+500), by decision (+181), by TKO (+1514), by submission (+807)
Best Value: Ladd submission (+1014)
Seriously, just stay away from this one. But if you want a wild prediction from your good ol’ betting guide author, Ladd by submission.
Welterweight
Trevin Giles (-223)
Record: 14-4 (5-4 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 (-157); Wins ITD (+121), by decision (+279), by TKO (+156), by submission (+664)
Louis Cosce (+180)
Record: 7-1 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 1.5 (+121); Wins ITD (+304), by decision (+503), by TKO (+403), by submission (+1457)
Best Value: Trevin Giles (-223)
As long as Giles looks good on the scales, this is my favorite bet on the card.
Featherweight
Damon Jackson (+158)
Record: 21-4-1 (4-2-1 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 15 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-259); Wins ITD (+550), by decision (+264), by TKO (+1438), by submission (+844)
Pat Sabatini (-192)
Record: 17-3 (4-0 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 11 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 (+190); Wins ITD (+269), by decision (+126), by TKO (+838), by submission (+423)
Best Value: Pat Sabatini (-192)
This has parlay buster written all over it, so leave it off the multis and enjoy it straight like a fine whiskey.
Middleweight
Anthony Hernandez (-194)
Record: 9-2 (3-2 UFC)
Wins: 1 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-115); Wins ITD (+188), by decision (+198), by TKO (+606), by submission (+285)
Marc-Andre Barriault (+160)
Record: 14-5 (3-4 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 (-114); Wins ITD (+266), by decision (+473), by TKO (+323), by submission (+1438)
Best Value: Marc-Andre Barriault (+160)
I am not as sold on “Powerbar” as much as Matt and Craig, so it still stays off my card. Hard to deny the value though.
Heavyweight
Tanner Boser (-178)
Record: 20-8-1 (4-3 UFC)
Wins: 11 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 1.5 (-132); Wins ITD (+125), by decision (+347), by TKO (+131), by submission (+1963)
Rodrigo Nascimento (+147)
Record: 8-1 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 1.5 (+102); Wins ITD (+216), by decision (+617), by TKO (+819), by submission (+331)
Best Value: Tanner Boser (-178)
One of my favorite fighters to watch, “The Bulldozer” is going in my parlay.
Middleweight
Joe Pyfer (-466)
Record: 9-2 (UFC debut)
Wins: 6 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 (+151); Wins ITD (-258), by decision (+544), by TKO (-152), by submission (+463)
Alen Amedovski (+348)
Record: 8-3 (0-3 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 (-197); Wins ITD (+563), by decision (+889), by TKO (+638), by submission (+2725)
Best Value: Pyfer ITD (-258)
As cherry picked a debut as the UFC can give “Bodybagz”.
Featherweight
Andre Fili (-126)
Record: 21-9 (9-8 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 (-239); Wins ITD (+338), by decision (+162), by TKO (+419), by submission (+1563)
Bill Algeo (+103)
Record: 16-6 (3-2 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 (+180); Wins ITD (+406), by decision (+190), by TKO (+788), by submission (+788)
Best Value: Bill Algeo (+103)
This is going to be a really fun fight from bell to bell, but in a coin flip fight there’s always some value on the dog.
Middleweight
Chidi Njokuani (-125)
Record: 22-7 (2-0 UFC)
Wins: 14 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 3 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 (-132); Wins ITD (+170), by decision (+363), by TKO (+191), by submission (+1431)
Gregory Rodrigues (+103)
Record: 12-4 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 2 KO
Props: Under 1.5 (+101); Wins ITD (+158), by decision (+506), by TKO (+303), by submission (+479)
Best Value: Gregory Rodrigues (+103)
See my reasoning for Algeo above, although I like “Robocop” a touch more.
Bantamweight
Cory Sandhagen (-195)
Record: 14-4 (7-3 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 4.5 (-162); Wins ITD (+270), by decision (+117), by TKO (+401), by submission (+1019)
Song Yadong (+160)
Record: 19-6-1 (8-1-1 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 4.5 (+123); Wins ITD (+328), by decision (+423), by TKO (+396), by submission (+1863)
Best Value: Song Yadong (+160)
This is going to be an electric fight from bell to bell. I like the rising talent of “Kung Fu Kid” over the level of competition of “The Sandman”.
Results
UFC Paris
Josh: 2-5 (1-0 parlay), -0.01u
Matt: 9-3, +4.26u
Craig: 9-3, +5.22u
UFC 279
Matt: 8-5, -2.99u
Craig: 6-7, -6.82u
2022 Results
Josh: 89-102 (9-20 parlay), +7.05u
Matt: 252-124, +17.32u
Craig: 245-131, +11.10u
Editor’s Note: Matt and Craig make picks for every fight, regardless of betting lines. This exercise assumes a 1u bet on each fight.
My Card
Best Bets (2u each)
Trevin Giles (-223)
Straight bets (1u each)
Nikolas Motta (-197)
Pat Sabatini (-192)
Tanner Boser (-178)
Underdogs (1u each)
Tony Gravely (+137)
Gregory Rodrigues (+103)
Song Yadong (+160)
Props (1u each)
Lookboonmee decision (-117)
Parlay (+292)
Loma Lookboonmee (-218), Tanner Boser (-178), Joe Pyfer (-466), Fili-Algeo O2.5 (-239)