Preview

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song Full Card Betting Guide

After a chaotic UFC 279, the promotion returns to the UFC Apex for UFC Vegas 60, headlined by a bantamweight exchange between Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong.

The 14-fight card is scheduled to start at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sept. 17, on ESPN+.

Make sure to check out Question Mark Kicks two hours before the prelims begin for Matt and Craig’s final thoughts on the fight card. Also join the duo for the Fight Night Picks Sidekick, as Matt and Craig breakdown the fights live alongside the main card.

Fight Previews

Lightweight

Nikolas Motta (-197)

Record: 12-4 (0-1 UFC)

Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 3 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (+125); Wins ITD (+110), by decision (+302), by TKO (+124), by submission (+1300)

Cameron VanCamp (+162)

Record: 15-6-1 (0-1 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 (-164); Wins ITD (+273), by decision (+600), by TKO (+788), by submission (+375)

Best Value: Nikolas Motta (-197)
If you can get him below -200, I think it’s good value on “Iron” Motta.

Bantamweight

Tony Gravely (+137)

Record: 23-7 (4-2 UFC)

Wins: 10 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 5 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (-106); Wins ITD (+363), by decision (+315), by TKO (+460), by submission (+1429)

Javid Basharat (-167)

Record: 12-0 (1-0 UFC)

Wins: 5 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: n/a

Props: Under 2.5 (-125); Wins ITD (+137), by decision (+271), by TKO (+344), by submission (+326)

Best Value: Tony Gravely (+137)
The veteran savvy could pay off against the exciting prospect. If you like Basharat, by TKO (+344) is of slight interest.

Women’s Flyweight

Mariya Agapova (+123)

Record: 10-3 (2-2 UFC)

Wins: 3 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (+117); Wins ITD (+290), by decision (+321), by TKO (+426), by submission (+914)

Gillian Robertson (-150)

Record: 10-7 (7-5 UFC)

Wins: 1 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 (-153); Wins ITD (+123), by decision (+386), by TKO (+807), by submission (+170)

Best Value: Robertson submission (+170)
I wish this was +250 or more, but it should give the bolder bettors some interesting moments throughout the fight.

Lightweight

Trey Ogden (+253)

Record: 15-5 (0-1 UFC)

Wins: 11 SUB | Losses: 3 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (-107); Wins ITD (+456), by decision (+531), by TKO (+1314), by submission (+657)

Daniel Zellhuber (-325)

Record: 12-0 (UFC debut)

Wins: 7 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: n/a

Props: Under 2.5 (-124); Wins ITD (+118), by decision (+190), by TKO (+144), by submission (+843)

Best Value: Ogden submission (+657)
This is pop and popcorn all the way, but if something has to fill that space above, it might as well be attention-grabbing.

Women’s Strawweight

Loma Lookboonmee (-218)

Record: 6-3 (3-2 UFC)

Wins: 1 KO | Losses: 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (-287); Wins ITD (+355), by decision (-117), by TKO (+421), by submission (+1657)

Denise Gomes (+177)

Record: 6-1 (UFC debut)

Wins: 4 KO | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 2.5 (+213); Wins ITD (+525), by decision (+304), by TKO (+707), by submission (+2000)

Best Value: Lookboonmee decision (-117)
Honestly, Lookboonmee straight up and the over are both parlay fodder. I know many books don’t allow you to parlay props, or parlay same-fight bets, so just see what your book has and get action on the Thai fighter.

Women’s Bantamweight

Aspen Ladd (-142)

Record: 9-3 (4-3 UFC)

Wins: 6 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Over 2.5 (-194); Wins ITD (+241), by decision (+201), by TKO (+314), by submission (+1014)

Sara McMann (+117)

Record: 13-6 (7-6 UFC)

Wins: 2 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 4 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 (+149); Wins ITD (+500), by decision (+181), by TKO (+1514), by submission (+807)

Best Value: Ladd submission (+1014)
Seriously, just stay away from this one. But if you want a wild prediction from your good ol’ betting guide author, Ladd by submission.

Welterweight

Trevin Giles (-223)

Record: 14-4 (5-4 UFC)

Wins: 6 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 2 SUB

Props: Over 1.5 (-157); Wins ITD (+121), by decision (+279), by TKO (+156), by submission (+664)

Louis Cosce (+180)

Record: 7-1 (0-1 UFC)

Wins: 5 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 1.5 (+121); Wins ITD (+304), by decision (+503), by TKO (+403), by submission (+1457)

Best Value: Trevin Giles (-223)
As long as Giles looks good on the scales, this is my favorite bet on the card.

Featherweight

Damon Jackson (+158)

Record: 21-4-1 (4-2-1 UFC)

Wins: 3 KO, 15 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (-259); Wins ITD (+550), by decision (+264), by TKO (+1438), by submission (+844)

Pat Sabatini (-192)

Record: 17-3 (4-0 UFC)

Wins: 1 KO, 11 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 2.5 (+190); Wins ITD (+269), by decision (+126), by TKO (+838), by submission (+423)

Best Value: Pat Sabatini (-192)
This has parlay buster written all over it, so leave it off the multis and enjoy it straight like a fine whiskey.

Middleweight

Anthony Hernandez (-194)

Record: 9-2 (3-2 UFC)

Wins: 1 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (-115); Wins ITD (+188), by decision (+198), by TKO (+606), by submission (+285)

Marc-Andre Barriault (+160)

Record: 14-5 (3-4 UFC)

Wins: 9 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 2.5 (-114); Wins ITD (+266), by decision (+473), by TKO (+323), by submission (+1438)

Best Value: Marc-Andre Barriault (+160)
I am not as sold on “Powerbar” as much as Matt and Craig, so it still stays off my card. Hard to deny the value though.

Heavyweight

Tanner Boser (-178)

Record: 20-8-1 (4-3 UFC)

Wins: 11 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Over 1.5 (-132); Wins ITD (+125), by decision (+347), by TKO (+131), by submission (+1963)

Rodrigo Nascimento (+147)

Record: 8-1 (1-1 UFC)

Wins: 2 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 1.5 (+102); Wins ITD (+216), by decision (+617), by TKO (+819), by submission (+331)

Best Value: Tanner Boser (-178)
One of my favorite fighters to watch, “The Bulldozer” is going in my parlay.

Middleweight

Joe Pyfer (-466)

Record: 9-2 (UFC debut)

Wins: 6 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Over 1.5 (+151); Wins ITD (-258), by decision (+544), by TKO (-152), by submission (+463)

Alen Amedovski (+348)

Record: 8-3 (0-3 UFC)

Wins: 8 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB

Props: Under 1.5 (-197); Wins ITD (+563), by decision (+889), by TKO (+638), by submission (+2725)

Best Value: Pyfer ITD (-258)
As cherry picked a debut as the UFC can give “Bodybagz”.

Featherweight

Andre Fili (-126)

Record: 21-9 (9-8 UFC)

Wins: 9 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 2 SUB

Props: Over 2.5 (-239); Wins ITD (+338), by decision (+162), by TKO (+419), by submission (+1563)

Bill Algeo (+103)

Record: 16-6 (3-2 UFC)

Wins: 4 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB

Props: Under 2.5 (+180); Wins ITD (+406), by decision (+190), by TKO (+788), by submission (+788)

Best Value: Bill Algeo (+103)
This is going to be a really fun fight from bell to bell, but in a coin flip fight there’s always some value on the dog.

Middleweight

Chidi Njokuani (-125)

Record: 22-7 (2-0 UFC)

Wins: 14 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 3 KO, 3 SUB

Props: Over 1.5 (-132); Wins ITD (+170), by decision (+363), by TKO (+191), by submission (+1431)

Gregory Rodrigues (+103)

Record: 12-4 (3-1 UFC)

Wins: 6 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 2 KO

Props: Under 1.5 (+101); Wins ITD (+158), by decision (+506), by TKO (+303), by submission (+479)

Best Value: Gregory Rodrigues (+103)
See my reasoning for Algeo above, although I like “Robocop” a touch more.

Bantamweight

Cory Sandhagen (-195)

Record: 14-4 (7-3 UFC)

Wins: 6 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB

Props: Over 4.5 (-162); Wins ITD (+270), by decision (+117), by TKO (+401), by submission (+1019)

Song Yadong (+160)

Record: 19-6-1 (8-1-1 UFC)

Wins: 8 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO

Props: Under 4.5 (+123); Wins ITD (+328), by decision (+423), by TKO (+396), by submission (+1863)

Best Value: Song Yadong (+160)
This is going to be an electric fight from bell to bell. I like the rising talent of “Kung Fu Kid” over the level of competition of “The Sandman”.

Results

UFC Paris

Josh: 2-5 (1-0 parlay), -0.01u

Matt: 9-3, +4.26u

Craig: 9-3, +5.22u

UFC 279

Matt: 8-5, -2.99u

Craig: 6-7, -6.82u

2022 Results

Josh: 89-102 (9-20 parlay), +7.05u

Matt: 252-124, +17.32u

Craig: 245-131, +11.10u

Editor’s Note: Matt and Craig make picks for every fight, regardless of betting lines. This exercise assumes a 1u bet on each fight.

My Card

Best Bets (2u each)

Trevin Giles (-223)

Straight bets (1u each)

Nikolas Motta (-197)

Pat Sabatini (-192)

Tanner Boser (-178)

Underdogs (1u each)

Tony Gravely (+137)

Gregory Rodrigues (+103)

Song Yadong (+160)

Props (1u each)

Lookboonmee decision (-117)

Parlay (+292)

Loma Lookboonmee (-218), Tanner Boser (-178), Joe Pyfer (-466), Fili-Algeo O2.5 (-239)

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