UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker Full Card Betting Guide

The now 12-fight UFC Vegas 38 is set for Saturday, Oct. 2, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas as Thiago Santos and Johnny Walker meet in a light heavyweight main event.

The card, set for 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+, lost one of its fights after Aspen Ladd failed to make weight for her bout with Macy Chiasson and looked light-headed on the scales. The card will proceed with 12 fights culminating in Santos vs. Walker. Kevin Holland also makes his return to fight Kyle Daukaus in a middleweight co-main event.

Make sure to check out the Full Card Preview for full analysis of every fight, as well as Question Mark Kicks, which goes live on YouTube two hours before the start of the card Saturday.

Best Bets

Devonte Smith (-152) — Smith can work behind a jab, has plenty of power and is a rather cerebral fighter. What’s not to like? Jamie Mullarkey’s pressure could pose problems, but I like Smith a lot in this fight. Smith by knockout at +133 is intriguing as well.

Joe Solecki (-135) — Solecki is the real deal. He’s an incredibly well-rounded modern MMA fighter and against Jared Gordon, he’s might have the advantage in every facet of the game. This is my most confident bet on the card. Solecki by submission at +398 is very interesting.

Douglas Andrade (-251) — What does Gaetano Pirrello struggle with? Wrestling. What is Andrade great at? Wrestling. Enough said.

Pop and Popcorn Fights

Karol Rosa (-578) vs. Bethe Correia (+418) — Rosa should win this fight but at these odds paired with Correia’s missed weight cut gives me too much pause to wager.

Alexander Hernandez (-554) vs. Mike Breeden (+403) — Breeden is coming in on short notice and Alexander Hernandez at his best is great. But Hernandez also has inconsistencies and Breeden is no slouch.

Niko Price (-180) vs. Alex Oliveira (+151) — I liked Price a lot when he was in the -130 range, but now at these odds, I’m staying away. Oliveira is far too dangerous a fighter with that juice.

Underdogs to Consider

Misha Cirkunov (+125) — You’ll know if this bet cashed or not in about three minutes. Cirkunov will come out and get top position on Krzysztof Jotko early or Jotko will pick him apart the rest of the fight. Cirkunov in round 1 at +401 and Cirkunov by submission at +309 or both intriguing as well.

Kyle Daukaus (+137) — Kevin Holland is probably the more talented fighter but this fight is closer to a coin flip than the odds suggest.

Johnny Walker (+133) — Is this the new guard replacing the old guard? Thiago Santos five years ago wins this fight running away. But Walker is very dangerous on the feet. He’s a very dynamic striker unafraid to go for broke. At these odds, it’s worth a small wager.

Intriguing Props

Stephanie Egger by submission (+551) — Shanna Young lost by rear-naked choke to Sarah Alpar. Egger is a better grappler, with a judo background. If Egger gets top position, an early end could be inevitable.

Casey O’Neill inside the distance (+135) — The undefeated fighter is a nightmare if she gets top position. Antonina Shevchenko does not have the greatest takedown defense. It sounds like a recipe for some hellacious O’Neill ground-and-pound.

Parlay of the Night

Alejandro Perez (-241), Douglas Andrade (-251), Devonte Smith (-152), Joe Solecki (-135) — +471

And as always, the bold bettors need an add on. I’d say add Misha Cirkunov at +125 to boost odds to +1184.