UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka Full Card Betting Guide
The UFC heads to Singapore this weekend for UFC 275 featuring a pair of championship bouts on Saturday, June 11. The 12-fight card, scheduled to start at 6:30 p.m. ET, is headlined by a light heavyweight title bout between longtime veteran Glover Teixeira and striking prodigy Jiri Prochazka and a women’s flyweight championship fight between the weight class G.O.A.T Valentina Shevchenko and up-and-comer Taila Santos.
There will be no Question Mark Kicks or Fight Night Picks Sidekick this week. The programs will return live on YouTube for future cards.
Fight Previews
Women’s Featherweight
Joselyne Edwards (-165)
Record: 10-4 (1-2 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-216); Wins ITD (+299), by decision (+138), by TKO (+500), by submission (+603)
Ramona Pascual (+137)
Record: 6-3 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+172); Wins ITD (+401), by decision (+298), by TKO (+675), by submission (+773)
Best Value: Over 2.5 rounds (-216)
This being at featherweight makes no sense, but if you’re crazy enough to bet on this fight, the over is likely to hit and the odds aren’t terribly juiced.
Women’s Strawweight
Liang Na (+123)
Record: 19-5 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 11 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-125); Wins ITD (+145), by decision (+900), by TKO (+650), by submission (+200)
Silvana Gomez Juarez (-149)
Record: 10-4 (0-2 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (-105); Wins ITD (+188), by decision (+263), by TKO (+275), by submission (+700)
Best Value: Na submission (+200)
Can Juarez make it a trifecta of armbar losses to start (and end) her UFC tenure?
Bantamweight
Kyung Ho Kang (+115)
Record: 17-9 (6-3 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 11 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: n/a
Batgerel Danaa (-139)
Record: 12-3 (3-2 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Wins ITD (+175), by decision (+275), by TKO (+188), by submission (+1800)
Best Value: Kyung Ho Kang (+115)
The quick turnaround from a knockout to take a short notice fight is highly concerning for Batgerel.
Welterweight
Andre Fialho (-148)
Record: 16-4 (2-1 UFC)
Wins: 13 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 2 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+102); Wins ITD (+109), by decision (+494), by TKO (+114), by submission (+1550)
Jake Matthews (+122)
Record: 17-5 (10-5 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 3 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-131); Wins ITD (+436), by decision (+226), by TKO (+1114), by submission (+563)
Best Value: Fialho TKO (+114)
Matthews isn’t known for an iron chin, and Fialho is a bad man standing up.
Lightweight
Hayisaer Maheshate (+146)
Record: 6-1 (UFC debut)
Wins: 3 KO | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+135); Wins ITD (+252), by decision (+474), by TKO (+253), by submission (+2283)
Steve Garcia (-177)
Record: 12-4 (1-1 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-171); Wins ITD (+122), by decision (+368), by TKO (+217), by submission (+412)
Best Value: Steve Garcia (-177)
There might be a home canvas advantage for Maheshate, but this is a tough debut for the 22-year-old.
Featherweight
Seung Woo Choi (-241)
Record: 10-4 (3-3 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-132); Wins ITD (+151), by decision (+183), by TKO (+156), by submission (+1663)
Josh Culibao (+194)
Record: 9-1-1 (1-1-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+103); Wins ITD (+456), by decision (+406), by TKO (+586), by submission (+1333)
Best Value: Josh Culibao (+194)
There’s probably some value in the underdog, but this is pop-and-popcorn all the way.
Middleweight
Brendan Allen (-312)
Record: 18-5 (6-2 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 10 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+118); Wins ITD (-101), by decision (+248), by TKO (+319), by submission (+183)
Jacob Malkoun (+246)
Record: 6-1 (2-1 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-152); Wins ITD (+346), by decision (+700), by TKO (+636), by submission (+756)
Best Value: Allen ITD (-101)
Take Allen straight up or by whatever prop you want. This will be one-way traffic.
Welterweight
Jack Della Maddalena (-158)
Record: 11-2 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-213); Wins ITD (+247), by decision (+175), by TKO (+278), by submission (+1383)
Ramazan Emeev (+132)
Record: 20-5 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+165); Wins ITD (+507), by decision (+221), by TKO (+1063), by submission (+741)
Best Value: Ramazan Emeev (+132)
This matchup seems perfectly set up for Emeev to implement his style and take the fight to the scorecards.
Flyweight
Rogerio Bontorin (+186)
Record: 17-4 (3-3 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 11 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+112); Wins ITD (+335), by decision (+535), by TKO (+863), by submission (+491)
Manel Kape (-231)
Record: 17-6 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 11 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-144); Wins ITD (+118), by decision (+250), by TKO (+127), by submission (+1344)
Best Value: Rogerio Bontorin (+186)
These odds provide ridiculously good value on the underdog. If Bontorin can make this fight chaotic, he’s going to thrive.
Women’s Strawweight
Zhang Weili (-172)
Record: 21-3 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-278); Wins ITD (+293), by decision (+144), by TKO (+363), by submission (+1163)
Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+143)
Record: 16-4 (10-4 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+211); Wins ITD (+650), by decision (+199), by TKO (+716), by submission (+2711)
Best Value: Zhang Weili (-172)
I’ll take the young, hungry fighter over the 34-year-old who hasn’t fought in two years.
Women’s Flyweight Championship
Valentina Shevchenko (-655)
Record: 22-3 (11-2 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-133); Wins ITD (+126), by decision (+103), by TKO (+199), by submission (+478)
Taila Santos (+455)
Record: 19-1 (4-1 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Under 4.5 rounds (+105); Wins ITD (+793), by decision (+1040), by TKO (+1419), by submission (+1479)
Best Value: Shevchenko TKO (+199)
Santos has a lot of skills to like, I just think she lacks the experience against elite fighters to compete with Shevchenko.
Light Heavyweight Championship
Glover Teixeira (+167)
Record: 33-7 (16-5 UFC)
Wins: 17 KO, 11 SUB | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-134); Wins ITD (+248), by decision (+665), by TKO (+794), by submission (+356)
Jiri Prochazka (-204)
Record: 28-3-1 (2-0 UFC)
Wins: 25 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+106); Wins ITD (-154), by decision (+717), by TKO (-138), by submission (+2056)
Best Value: Teixeira submission (+356)
If Prochazka can’t finish this fight early, Teixeira will probably finish it in the third or fourth. This is going to be an electric fight and there’s definitely some value in the veteran.
Results
UFC Vegas 56
Josh: 3-3 (0-1 parlay), +1.39u
Matt: 11-3, +6.71u
Craig: 11-3, +6.5u
2022 Results
Josh: 52-67 (6-12 parlay), -0.66u
Matt: 144-77, +6.48u
Craig: 143-78, +8.68u
Editor’s Note: Matt and Craig make picks for every fight, regardless of betting lines. This exercise assumes a 1u bet on each fight.
My Card
Best Bets (2u each)
Rogerio Bontorin (+186)
Straight bets (1u each)
Steve Garcia (-177)
Zhang Weili (-172)
Underdogs (1u each)
Kyung Ho Kang (+115)
Ramazan Emeev (+132)
Props (1u each)
Shevchenko ITD (+199)
Teixeira submission (+356)
Parlay (+340)
Steve Garcia (-177), Brendan Allen (-301), Zhang Weili (-172), Teixeira-Prochazka U3.5 (-298)