UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Full Card Betting Guide
Fight Previews
Women’s Bantamweight
Jessica Rose-Clark (-156)
Record: 11-7 (4-3 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-246); Wins ITD (+399), by decision (+114), by TKO (+563), by submission (+1089)
Julija Stoliarenko (+129)
Record: 9-6-1 (0-4 UFC)
Wins: 8 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+186); Wins ITD (+338), by decision (+307), by TKO (+1213), by submission (+406)
Best Value: Stoliarenko submission (+406)
Sure, throw some dough at a fighter that is 0-4 in the promotion. Why not?
Women’s Flyweight
Jessica Eye (+232)
Record: 15-10 (5-9 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-308); Wins ITD (+631), by decision (+349), by TKO (+1066), by submission (+1422)
Maycee Barber (-290)
Record: 10-2 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+234); Wins ITD (+321), by decision (-125), by TKO (+394), by submission (+1122)
Best Value: Barber TKO (+394)
Bet on this fight at your own peril, but if you do have the cajones to do so, at least bet on something fun.
Middleweight
Uriah Hall (+262)
Record: 17-10 (10-8 UFC)
Wins: 12 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 4 KO
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (+120); Wins ITD (+358), by decision (+855), by TKO (+376), by submission (+2878)
Andre Muniz (-337)
Record: 22-4 (4-0 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 15 SUB | Losses: 4 KO
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (-154); Wins ITD (-182), by decision (+531), by TKO (+436), by submission (-116)
Best Value: Muniz submission (-116)
This dude is a wizard on the canvas. Hall’s takedown defense doesn’t exactly inspire confidence in his ability to keep this standing.
Middleweight
Brad Tavares (+125)
Record: 19-6 (14-6 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-120); Wins ITD (+475), by decision (+207), by TKO (+563), by submission (+2222)
Dricus Du Plessis (-153)
Record: 16-2 (2-0 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-108); Wins ITD (+135), by decision (+367), by TKO (+181), by submission (+683)
Best Value: Dricus du Plessis (-153)
Du Plessis has certainly looked the part of a UFC fighter in his first two fights and this will be a good measuring stick.
Welterweight
Ian Garry (-177)
Record: 9-0 (2-0 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: n/a
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-136); Wins ITD (+187), by decision (+196), by TKO (+266), by submission (+785)
Gabe Green (+146)
Record: 11-3 (2-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 2 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+107); Wins ITD (+368), by decision (+329), by TKO (+266), by submission (+921)
Best Value: Garry TKO (+266)
If Green turns this into a brawl, as he sometimes does, Garry has the technical ability to put him down.
Welterweight
Jim Miller (-194)
Record: 34-16 (23-15 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 18 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 3 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-151); Wins ITD (+116), by decision (+300), by TKO (+298), by submission (+270)
Donald Cerrone (+160)
Record: 36-16 (23-13 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 17 SUB | Losses: 8 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+117); Wins ITD (+308), by decision (+498), by TKO (+438), by submission (+900)
Best Value: Jim Miller (-194)
Miller has a real shot to go on a three-fight UFC win streak in the year 2022. The man started in the UFC 14 years ago. That’s wild.
Lightweight
Brad Riddell (+123)
Record: 10-2 (4-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO | Losses: 1 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-147); Wins ITD (+267), by decision (+343), by TKO (+289), by submission (+1922)
Jalin Turner (-150)
Record: 12-5 (5-2 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+115); Wins ITD (+124), by decision (+405), by TKO (+200), by submission (+583)
Best Value: Over 1.5 rounds (-147)
Riddell’s fights often go the distance and he’s certainly talented enough to pose Turner some questions here. There’s a small value bet to be had.
Bantamweight
Pedro Munhoz (+241)
Record: 19-7 (9-7 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 7 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-121); Wins ITD (+463), by decision (+553), by TKO (+719), by submission (+983)
Sean O’Malley (-302)
Record: 15-1 (7-1 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-107); Wins ITD (+130), by decision (+166), by TKO (+147), by submission (+1544)
Best Value: O’Malley TKO (+147)
It’s always tough to pull the trigger on something that’s never happened before, and Munhoz has never been finished. O’Malley’s speedy hands will give a slower Munhoz tons of trouble, though.
Welterweight
Robbie Lawler (-122)
Record: 29-15 (14-9 UFC)
Wins: 21 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 6 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-185); Wins ITD (+317), by decision (+166), by TKO (+343), by submission (+2711)
Bryan Barberena (-101)
Record: 17-8 (8-6 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+146); Wins ITD (+310), by decision (+240), by TKO (+379), by submission (+1522)
Best Value: Bryan Barberena (-101)
There’s probably only value here if Barberena slips into plus territory. It’s a coin flip fight between two fighters whose best days are behind them.
Middleweight
Sean Strickland (-117)
Record: 25-3 (12-3 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-177); Wins ITD (+268), by decision (+251), by TKO (+361), by submission (+850)
Alex Pereira (-104)
Record: 5-1 (2-0 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+140); Wins ITD (+143), by decision (+461), by TKO (+146), by submission (+2667)
Best Value: Pereira TKO (+146)
Pereira is the real deal, and he has a chance to showcase it in a big way against a fighter who will get in positions Pereira excels in.
Featherweight Championship
Alexander Volkanovski (-206)
Record: 24-1 (11-0 UFC)
Wins: 12 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-254); Wins ITD (+294), by decision (+112), by TKO (+345), by submission (+1347)
Max Holloway (+169)
Record: 23-6 (19-6 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 4.5 rounds (+193); Wins ITD (+499), by decision (+289), by TKO (+588), by submission (+2028)
Best Value: Holloway decision (+289)
The first two fights were close. Volkanovski should be a favorite, but I think the odds are disrespecting Holloway a bit here. The Over 4.5 (-254) should anchor all parlays.
Middleweight Championship
Israel Adesanya (-475)
Record: 22-1 (11-1 UFC)
Wins: 15 KO | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-118); Wins ITD (+142), by decision (+118), by TKO (+155), by submission (+1356)
Jared Cannonier (+355)
Record: 15-5 (8-5 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 KO
Props: Under 4.5 rounds (-110); Wins ITD (+512), by decision (+850), by TKO (+566), by submission (+2148)
Best Value: Adesanya TKO (+155)
I hear a lot of people saying the book is out on Adesanya, but unless you’re a physically imposing light heavyweight, Adesanya is not easy to keep down. His kickboxing is unrivaled in the division, and a finish is certainly possible here.
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