UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett Full Card Betting Guide
This loaded 14-fight card shouldn’t fly under the radar. From top to bottom, UFC Fight Night Austin boasts some talented fighters and intriguing bouts. At the top of Saturday’s event at the Moody Center is a featherweight exchange between Calvin Kattar and Josh Emmett.
The card is slated to begin at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Make sure to check out Question Mark Kicks two hours before the prelims begin for Matt and Craig’s final thoughts on the fight card.
Fight Previews
Middleweight
Roman Dolidze (+211)
Record: 9-1 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-162); Wins ITD (+493), by decision (+407), by TKO (+794), by submission (+1007)
Kyle Daukaus (-259)
Record: 11-2 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 9 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+128); Wins ITD (+169), by decision (+153), by TKO (+544), by submission (+266)
Best Value: Daukaus submission (+266)
I can definitely see Dolidze getting caught in something funny on a trip takedown attempt.
Middleweight
Phil Hawes (-269)
Record: 11-3 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-110); Wins ITD (+114), by decision (+218), by TKO (+142), by submission (+883)
Deron Winn (+218)
Record: 7-2 (2-2 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-117); Wins ITD (+519), by decision (+425), by TKO (+581), by submission (+1822)
Best Value: Hawes ITD (+114)
First round knockout incoming.
Bantamweight
Eddie Wineland (+410)
Record: 24-15-1 (6-9 UFC)
Wins: 14 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 5 KO, 4 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-165); Wins ITD (+716), by decision (+815), by TKO (+769), by submission (+3128)
Cody Stamann (-570)
Record: 19-5-1 (5-4-1 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+128); Wins ITD (+151), by decision (-111), by TKO (+208), by submission (+806)
Best Value: Over 2.5 rounds (-165)
The scorecards feel inevitable in this bout.
Women’s Strawweight
Maria Oliveira (+212)
Record: 12-5 (0-1 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-328); Wins ITD (+808), by decision (+324), by TKO (+958), by submission (+2543)
Gloria de Paula (-262)
Record: 6-4 (1-2 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+244); Wins ITD (+301), by decision (-120), by TKO (+379), by submission (+1250)
Best Value: Gloria de Paula ITD (+301)
De Paula is just in a different talent bracket than Oliveira at this stage of their careers. She’s also stronger physically and her movement will stymie the inaccurate Oliveira.
Featherweight
Ricardo Ramos (-306)
Record: 15-4 (6-3 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-203); Wins ITD (+241), by decision (-110), by TKO (+650), by submission (+378)
Danny Chavez (+243)
Record: 11-4-1 (1-1-1 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+159); Wins ITD (+472), by decision (+561), by TKO (+518), by submission (+2531)
Best Value: Danny Chavez (+243)
Chavez has a much better chance the odds suggest, but this is pop and popcorn all the way.
Welterweight
Court McGee (-104)
Record: 21-10 (10-9 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-196); Wins ITD (+439), by decision (+149), by TKO (+681), by submission (+1267)
Jeremiah Wells (-109)
Record: 10-2-1 (2-0 UFC)
Wins: 4 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+154); Wins ITD (+246), by decision (+293), by TKO (+443), by submission (+493)
Best Value: Court McGee (-104)
If the odds slip into plus territory for McGee, I’ll jump on it. As of now, I just don’t see any value on this pop-and-popcorn fight.
Women’s Flyweight
Jasmine Jasudavicius (-243)
Record: 7-1 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 2 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-221); Wins ITD (+257), by decision (+100), by TKO (+431), by submission (+758)
Natalia Silva (+198)
Record: 12-5-1 (UFC debut)
Wins: 3 KO, 7 SUB | Losses: 1 KO, 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+170); Wins ITD (+482), by decision (+410), by TKO (+1425), by submission (+586)
Best Value: Jasmine Jasudavicius (-243)
There might be a tiny bit of value still on betting against the debutant, but I’d keep this off my card.
Bantamweight
Adrian Yanez (-286)
Record: 15-3 (4-0 UFC)
Wins: 9 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 3 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-119); Wins ITD (+116), by decision (+176), by TKO (+139), by submission (+967)
Tony Kelley (+231)
Record: 8-2 (2-1 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-109); Wins ITD (+504), by decision (+517), by TKO (+800), by submission (+994)
Best Value: Over 2.5 rounds (-119)
The safest of the bets in this bout, but you have to like Adrian Yanez’s chances a lot more with Kelley’s weight miss and injury concerns.
Middleweight
Julian Marquez (+148)
Record: 9-2 (3-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 2 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (+119); Wins ITD (+266), by decision (+479), by TKO (+409), by submission (+873)
Gregory Rodrigues (-177)
Record: 11-4 (2-1 UFC)
Wins: 5 KO, 4 SUB | Losses: 2 KO
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (-151); Wins ITD (+132), by decision (+292), by TKO (+252), by submission (+409)
Best Value: Gregory Rodrigues (-177)
If there was a fighter built to beat Marquez, Rodrigues would be it. What he does well, Marquez does poorly.
Lightweight
Damir Ismagulov (-170)
Record: 23-1 (4-0 UFC)
Wins: 12 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 DEC
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-242); Wins ITD (+371), by decision (+113), by TKO (+398), by submission (+1622)
Guram Kutateladze (+141)
Record: 12-2 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 7 KO, 1 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+184); Wins ITD (+336), by decision (+320), by TKO (+390), by submission (+1806)
Best Value: Guram Kutateladze (+141)
Soda pop. Buttered popcorn.
Middleweight
Joaquin Buckley (+192)
Record: 14-4 (4-2 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-158); Wins ITD (+284), by decision (+608), by TKO (+289), by submission (+2856)
Albert Duraev (-235)
Record: 15-3 (1-0 UFC)
Wins: 3 KO, 9 SUB | Losses: 3 KO
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+124); Wins ITD (+120), by decision (+250), by TKO (+384), by submission (+252)
Best Value: Under 1.5 rounds (+124)
Either Buckley earns a quick knockout, or Duraev smothers him on the mat and probably finds a finish while he does so.
Welterweight
Tim Means (+241)
Record: 32-12-1 (14-9-1 UFC)
Wins: 19 KO, 5 SUB | Losses: 2 KO, 5 SUB
Props: Over 2.5 rounds (-131); Wins ITD (+521), by decision (+432), by TKO (+584), by submission (+1708)
Kevin Holland (-302)
Record: 22-7 (9-4 UFC)
Wins: 12 KO, 6 SUB | Losses: 2 SUB
Props: Under 2.5 rounds (+103); Wins ITD (+142), by decision (+161), by TKO (+210), by submission (+644)
Best Value: Over 2.5 rounds (-131)
This is pop and popcorn all the way for me, but Means could dirty up this fight and let the judges handle the aftermath.
Lightweight
Donald Cerrone (-166)
Record: 36-16 (23-13 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 17 SUB | Losses: 8 KO, 1 SUB
Props: Over 1.5 rounds (-153); Wins ITD (+126), by decision (+357), by TKO (+172), by submission (+607)
Joe Lauzon (+139)
Record: 28-15 (15-12 UFC)
Wins: 8 KO, 18 SUB | Losses: 6 KO, 3 SUB
Props: Under 1.5 rounds (+121); Wins ITD (+246), by decision (+463), by TKO (+431), by submission (+700)
Best Value: Joe Lauzon (+139)
A long layoff usually makes me skeptical, but it can only do good things for the 38-year-old underdog.
Featherweight
Calvin Kattar (-235)
Record: 23-5 (7-3 UFC)
Wins: 10 KO, 3 SUB | Losses: 1 SUB
Props: Over 4.5 rounds (-133); Wins ITD (+197), by decision (+138), by TKO (+199), by submission (+1700)
Josh Emmett (+192)
Record: 17-2 (8-2 UFC)
Wins: 6 KO, 2 SUB | Losses: 1 KO
Props: Under 4.5 rounds (+106); Wins ITD (+355), by decision (+490), by TKO (+431), by submission (+2033)
Best Value: Emmett TKO (+431)
This fight might just be one-sided until it isn’t. Nobody hits harder than Emmett, and Kattar will give him chances to end it with one punch.
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