UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane Full Card Betting Guide
February 26, 2021
Another week, another battle of heavyweights featured on a UFC Fight Night card. This time, it’s Jairzinho Rozenstruik meeting Cyril Gane in a test of a heavyweight up-and-comers. The 10-fight card is scheduled to start at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
An exciting light heavyweight matchup between Nikita Krylov and Magomed Ankalaev will feature as the co-main event. Rounding out the main card are women’s flyweights Mayra Bueno Silva and Montana De La Rosa, the rescheduled bout between Jimmie Rivera and Pedro Munhoz and featherweights Alex Caceres and Kevin Croom.
For Matt and Craig’s insight into the fights, check out the full card preview. The two disagreed on a lot of picks this week, meaning there’s loads of insight and reasons to bet on either side. Check back in on YouTube for Question Mark Kicks two hours before the fights begin to see if they have changed their minds on any of their predictions.
Jimmie Rivera by decision (-106) — Rivera won the first matchup against Pedro Munhoz by split decision six years ago and while both have gone on to have very successful UFC careers, there is enough reason to believe the result will be the same this time around. Rivera is a decision king (17 of his 23 wins have gone to the scorecards) and he’ll know how to outpoint a fighter who has never been finished in Munhoz.
Mayra Bueno Silva (-139) — While this could turn into a mediocre striking bout, it feels like Montana De La Rosa needs to get it to the ground to have success. That would also play into Bueno Silva’s strengths as well. Six of Bueno Silva’s wins have come inside the distance, so a few bucks on a win inside the distance at +239 might be worth it as well.
Pop and Popcorn Fights
Magomed Ankalaev (-365) vs. Nikita Krylov (+283) — Ankalaev will probably get the win. Does he get the win almost 80 percent of the time? That’s hard to say, and why this one should probably stay off your card. The odds should be a lot closer in this Fight of the Night contender.
Underdogs to Consider
Alexis Davis (+176) — As Matt said in the prediction video, if you like Davis, it might be worth it to throw a couple bucks on it. Sabina Mazo is the favorite for a reason, but Davis probably wins more than the 36 percent of the time the odds imply.
Kevin Croom (+162) — While this is a hard fight to get a read on, the odds should be a lot closer to 50/50. A pure value play on Croom over Alex Caceres.
Thiago Moises by submission (+535) — Six of Moises’ 14 wins are by submission and Alexander Hernandez can be inconsistent at times. If Moises can win a scramble and get on top, there’s a decent chance he can catch a neck or arm. The odds here are rather juicy for it.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik by KO/TKO (+280) — If you like the fighter from Suriname, this seems to be his most likely (and possibly only) path to victory against Cyril Gane. The odds seem a little steep on Gane (-257). So if you believe Rozenstruik gets the knockout more than 28 percent of the time, this is the bet.
Parlay of the Night
Angela Hill (-380), Mayra Bueno Silva (-139), Rivera/Munhoz over 2.5 rounds (-301) — +189